Friday, June 24, 2022

The Purpose and Powers of the Senate, Part XXXXV: New Deals and Hail Marys, or The Lame Duck Laid to Rest

     Granting that there does not appear to be any evidence explicitly tying the proposal and ratification of the 20th Amendment to the opening years of the Great Depression and the highly unfortunate administration of President Herbert Hoover, the proximity of the two nevertheless strongly implies some manner of causal connection. Could it have been a simple coincidence that the United States Congress ended up resurrecting George Norris’s lame-duck amendment at around the same time in 1932 that it became clear the increasingly unpopular sitting President was not going to be reelected? Absolutely. The problems inherent in allowing federal terms in office to continue at significant length beyond the most recent election had been relatively clear – albeit, not always top of mind – for the better part of one hundred and fifty years. Congress accordingly did not need to be acting in response to a particularly urgent dilemma for an appropriate reform proposal to have made sense. That being said, it would seem to make slightly more sense for the immanent defeat of an extremely unpopular chief executive – and the prospect of their remaining in office for months following a rejection at the polls – to be the primary trigger for a substantial discussion of modifying the relevant sections of the Constitution. Consider, in support of this position, certain developments within the Republican Party leading up to Hoover’s re-nomination in June of 1932.

    Writing in the St. Paul Dispatch in July of 1931, former White House physician James F. Coupal (1884-1935) publicly declared that Hoover’s predecessor, Calvin Coolidge (1872-1933), would accept his party’s nomination in place of Hoover if it was offered to him in a free and unqualified manner. Several months later in November, California Senator Hiram Johnson (1866-1945) likewise publicly advocated for Hoover’s retirement from politics following the conclusion of his term as President, specifically in the belief that their party would fare better with a different nominee on the ballot the following year. For several months thereafter, Hoover’s opponents within the party accordingly began seeking out a potential replacement in time enough for the forthcoming Republican National Convention. This group’s first choice, New Jersey Senator Dwight Morrow (1873-1931), had unfortunately died a month prior to Johnson’s public plea to the President, while their second choice, former Vice-President Charles G. Dawes (1865-1951), had already accepted Hoover’s offer to head the aforementioned Reconstruction Finance Corporation. But while this still left a raft of Republican officials favored by the party’s progressive wing as potentially viable candidates – including the likes of Nebraska Senator William Borah (1865-1940), Pennsylvania Governor Gifford Pinchot (1865-1946), and the aforementioned Senators Hiram Johnson and George Norris – it soon became clear that Hoover’s hold on the nomination was much stronger than it appeared. He may indeed have been doomed to lead his party to a crushing defeat at the polls, but the contemporary GOP nevertheless appeared incapable of coalescing around a viable alternative.

    Bearing all of this in mind, the fact that Congress ultimately approved Norris’s lame-duck amendment in March of 1932 would arguably stand to reason. Pursuant to the 1930 mid-term elections, the Republicans held a single-seat majority in the Senate and – following a series of deaths and special elections – had been reduced to a similarly narrow minority in the House of Representatives. In consequence – and in keeping with ongoing attempts by certain members of the GOP to maneuver the incumbent president out of winning re-nomination – it would seem a far from unreasonable turn of events for certain distressed members of the Republican Party to have determined that a constitutional amendment capable of removing Herbert Hoover from office sooner rather than later was decidedly worth pursuing. Not only did these dissidents likely have cause to disagree with the President’s approach to public policy – especially if they counted themselves among the GOP’s aforementioned progressive element – but it would surely have occurred to them that their party’s reputation was bound to suffer the longer the man remained in office. Rather than allow Hoover to win re-nomination – which he was bound to – lose re-election – which he was bound to – and then continue to sully the Republican brand during his last four months in office, these men may therefore have instead opted to approve the lame-duck amendment and thus speed their nominal leader’s ill-omened administration to as prompt an end as possible.

    Notwithstanding the length of time which usually elapses between the approval of an amendment by Congress and its final ratification by the states – tending, on average, towards a year or more – and the grace periods which are often built into amendments themselves, it would in fact have been possible for the lame-duck amendment proposed in March of 1932 to have come into force in time to effect the next scheduled presidential inauguration in March of 1933. This was owing to a specific clause in the text of the amendment itself, the copy of which, in full, states that, “Sections 1 and 2 shall take effect on the 15th day of October following the ratification of this article.” As the cited sections were the ones which asserted explicitly when the terms in office of the President, Vice-President, and the various members of Congress would thereafter end and begin, a successful ratification no later than October 15th, 1932 would have immediately shortened Hoover’s term in office by a total of forty-three days. That this was the case – that the proposed amendment was specifically intended so that it could be applied to the incumbent administration – would further seem to indicate that Hoover’s swift removal was on the minds of its supporters. If it had not been – if the amendment had simply been intended to address a long-standing institutional problem – then one would accordingly be forced to wonder at the purpose of the cited clause. Why, in short, make its application at all time-sensitive if it was not intended to address a specific, urgent problem?

    Unfortunately, the amendment’s ratification process is somewhat harder to account for. Based on the assumption that the proposal itself was approved by Congress in part due to the support of dissident Republicans who wished to prevent further harm being done to their party’s reputation, one might thereby reasonably conclude that the ratification of the same would rapidly become one of the top priorities of contemporary public officials situated across the political spectrum. As long as the process was concluded by October 15th at the latest, Hoover would be forced to leave office on January 20th rather than March 4th, an outcome which would allow the incoming President over forty extra days to begin implementing the kinds of wide-ranging social assistance, financial relief, and public works programs that the beleaguered country sorely needed. This didn’t leave the supporters of the proposed amendment very much time to bring about its ratification, of course. As of 1932, thirty-six states constituted the three-fourths threshold for ratification. With only slightly more than six months to go between March 2nd and October 15th, six state legislatures would accordingly need to approve the proposed amendment every month in order to reach the relevant deadline. And while this certainly would not have been impossible – previous amendments had managed to meet or even best this rate – it was still something of a tall order.

    Initially, the process did seem to proceed apace. In March of 1932 alone, eight state legislatures voted to ratify the proposed amendment, followed by three more in April. As spring turned to summer, however, the tempo began to slow. Only one state, Louisiana, voted to ratify in June, followed by one more in July and two more in August. September saw a further two states, Texas and Alabama, follow suit, bringing the total up to seventeen. With little more than a month to go before the October 15th cutoff, nineteen ratifications were still required. With the election for president now in full swing, however – the Republicans having re-nominated Hoover after a rather desultory convention in June while the Democrats coalesced around the ascendant Roosevelt at the beginning of July – there no longer seemed to be any room on the political calendar for anything other than the race for the White House. Precisely when the next chief executive could legally take office was still, doubtless, a matter of significant public concern. Under the circumstances, however, with President Hoover travelling the country continually arguing the dangers of depending on the federal government for assistance while Governor Roosevelt built on the promise in his convention acceptance speech to create a “new deal” for the American people, the question of who would take office naturally rose to the forefront. In the end, of course, Roosevelt emerged victorious, garnering four hundred and seventy-two electoral votes to Hoover’s comparatively measly fifty-nine. Hoover carried six states, Roosevelt took forty-two. And while Hoover did only slightly worse than the victorious Republican candidates in 1920 and 1924 in terms of the popular vote, his tally of fifteen million, seven hundred thousand nevertheless paled in comparison to Roosevelt’s nearly twenty-three million.

    Yes, the American people had most definitely spoken, and with an emphasis and a sense of concord not seen since the beginning of the previous decade. But while Roosevelt’s ultimate triumph did augur a more active federal response in the near future to the privation being daily wrought upon the American people by the Great Depression, it was no longer an open question exactly when the man would take office. The October 15th deadline having long since been blown past, Hoover would accordingly remain in power into March of 1933. In light of the opportunity which the original amendment proposal had offered, this was doubtless a substantially frustrating outcome for many Americans. Though he had been elected in a landslide to bring the kind of expansive public assistance programs he had erected in New York to the nation as a whole, Roosevelt would nevertheless be forced to wait for almost four months to elapse before being permitted to finally take office. Now, while he was doubtless embittered by his loss, Hoover was unlikely to use the intervening period to deliberately make things more difficult for his elected successor. A stubborn man he may have been, but he had never shown himself to be particularly vindictive. And yet, simply by remaining in office while doing very little to offer substantial relief to his countrymen, Herbert Hoover was bound to do his share of harm as the Depression continued to worsen around him. Meanwhile, of course, the proposed amendment remained on the books, half-finished but still a going concern. And so, as was often the case with amendments to the Constitution, January witnessed a kind of revivification. It may have been a done deal that Roosevelt’s tenure in office would not begin until March 4th, 1933, but in the event that his policies proved no more effective than Hoover’s, it would be to the benefit of the American people not to be forced into the same situation four years later in 1936.

    But while many amendments, as aforementioned, experienced a sudden burst of support at the beginning of the year following their initial approval by Congress, few quite equals that which carried the 20th Amendment across the finish line. The most obvious reason that this sort of thing often occurs is surely that majority of states tend to hold their annual legislative sessions in January. Sessions can be called at other times of the year, of course, and as the ratification process for most amendments makes clear, such sessions often are called for exactly that purpose. But depending, among other things, on the nature of the amendment, the identity of the majority party in the relevant legislature, and the ability of lawmakers to make an unexpected trip to the state capitol, it doubtless seems much easier in most cases for state assemblies to simply take up proposed amendments during their regularly scheduled session in January. But while this, no doubt, is what happened at the beginning of 1933, convenience would still not entirely explain the sudden fervor for ratification that seemed to overtake the various states. Between January 4th and January 23rd, all of the remaining nineteen states necessary to secure the ratification of the proposed amendment submitted their approval of the same. Where this not – frankly – astounding enough, the eight days that followed – the 23rd to the 31st – witnessed a further nine states add their names to the final tally as well. This made for a total of twenty-seven states, all of which voted to ratify the proposed amendment over the course of January 1933, averaging out to something like one state every day for one full month.

    To be fair, such a tremendous acceleration in the rate of ratification was not entirely unheard of. Something very much like it had also happened in 1919 during the process which brought about the ratification of the 18th Amendment. Having been approved by Congress on December 18th, 1918, the proposed prohibition amendment languished for an entire year until, in January 1919, the pace of approvals suddenly and dramatically increased. From January 2nd to January 16th, all twenty-one states necessary to secure its final ratification voted to endorse the amendment in question, followed by eight more between the 16th and the 29th. This made for an astounding rate of twenty-nine states in less than twenty-nine days, a record which even the 20th Amendment was ultimately unable to beat. But while the final success of the 18th Amendment – and the regime of nationwide prohibition it inaugurated – was inarguably the product of a long and multifaceted pressure campaign on the part of countless grassroots organizers and political operatives, the success of the 20th Amendment seemed to be the result of a far more disjointed and ad-hoc process. The various social crusaders at work in the American temperance movement had been endeavoring for decades to build lobbying networks, organize voting blocs, and establish sustainable connections within the mainstream political establishment, the end result of which was a tremendous arsenal of resources which could be brought to bear as the situation required. When the constitutional amendment towards which they had worked for so long became stalled in the states as 1918 drew to a close, therefore, temperance activists had it entirely within their means to suddenly accelerate the process. The same could not be said for the supporters of the 20th Amendment.

    This isn’t to say that the problem the proposed amendment was intended to address was particularly new or novel as of the early 1930s. On the contrary – and as the last several entries in the present series have attempted to make clear – the ability of lame-duck Congresses and lame-duck presidents to interfere in the ability of the American people to make manifest their democratic will had been painfully evident for almost one hundred and fifty years as of 1932. The thing that set this issue apart from the likes of temperance or the female franchise, however, was that it really only made itself known on an intermittent basis. For most of American history up to the early 1930s, the fact that lame-duck officials enjoyed an extra four months in office beyond their potential defeat at the polls had only shown itself to be a source of controversy on a handful of occasions. Outside of these infrequent occurrences – distressing though they may have been in the moment – the American people seemed inclined to forget that the lame-duck problem existed at all, thereby preventing the emergence of a cohesive reform movement and the concomitant accumulation of influence and resources. Bearing all of this in mind, the fact that the 20th Amendment also received a burst of support at the beginning of the year following its approval by Congress would seem to be especially inexplicable. Not only does it appear a rather strange turn of events for an amendment which had only seemed to become necessary in the spring of 1932 to experience a sudden surge of support in the states in January of the following year, but the fact of the surge itself would seem rather oddly timed. If such passionate support for the proposed amendment existed at all, why was it deployed in January 1933 instead of the summer of 1932? In short, what caused twenty-seven states to suddenly find their enthusiasm that could not have had the same effect six months prior?

    There do not seem to be any obvious answers to these questions. As aforementioned, the contemporary Republican Party was generally split between those conservatives who were willing to continue to support President Hoover and those progressives who felt that his policies were simultaneously damaging to the country and deleterious to the party’s brand. While it accordingly makes a certain amount of sense for the former group to withhold their support for the proposed lame-duck amendment out of a belief that Hoover deserved to see out his term in office to its intended conclusion, it doesn’t necessarily follow that these same Republicans – who presumably wielded a substantial amount of influence within a great many state assemblies – would have then reversed course entirely once the October deadline was passed. It may be that they favored the amendment in principle but did not want it to apply to Hoover. Or perhaps, having witnessed the full extent of the nation’s discontent with Herbert Hoover in particular and the Republican Party in general – the Election of 1932 having flipped the Senate in the Democrat’s favor and increased their House majority from two hundred and twenty seats to three hundred and eleven – certain Republicans sought to shore up their party’s badly tarnished public image by enthusiastically throwing their support behind a measure which had already shown itself to be broadly popular. Or maybe, as aforementioned, it was simply a question of timing.

    Unwilling to convene in special session to ratify an amendment which, even if approved before the deadline noted in its text, might not actually have had all that much effect on the nation’s already troubling economic state, it’s quite possible that most state legislators opted simply to wait until their customary January meeting. And then, having taken the opportunity to study the proposed amendment in some detail, they then universally decided that it was worthy of their approbation. Granted, this would not necessarily explain the intensity of support which the proposed amendment suddenly garnered, but perhaps it doesn’t need to. The 20th Amendment, even divorced from the circumstances which likely led to its approval by Congress, was a very necessary reform. Several incidents in the early 19th century had made this fact painfully clear. And while it seemingly took most state legislators until January of 1933 to take account of this fact, their tardiness need not be evidence of anything other than run-of-the-mill political lethargy. Lethargy, granted, that was followed by a frankly astounding burst of activity, but lethargy all the same. And while this apparent sense of malaise did ultimate prevent the 20th Amendment from applying to Herbert Hoover – thus permitting his term in office to continue until March 4th, 1933 – it at the very least did not prevent the reform in question from being enacted with uncommon speed. By January 23rd, 1933, thirty-nine states had voted to ratify, three more than the requisite thirty-six. Less than a month later, following certification, this tally rose to forty-six, with the remaining two states, Maryland and Florida, submitting their belated ratifications in March and April, respectively. Thus it was, a little more than a year following its approval by Congress, that the 20th Amendment to the United States Constitution had been endorsed by the legislatures of all forty-eight states.

    As to how one would classify the amendment itself – whether, according to the criteria established previously, it could be described as a popular proposal or was more institutional in nature – there likewise does not seem to be an obvious conclusion. On the one hand, the essential nature of the thing would seem to suggest that only public servants and political operatives were likely to be interested in its passage. It only effected, after all, certain specific aspects of the federal timetable for which the average American doubtless rarely spared a thought. Granted, on certain previous occasions, the order of operations by which federal officials were sworn into office had had a tremendous effect on the lives and livelihoods of everyday American citizens. The election of Thomas Jefferson by a lame-duck Federalist Congress in 1801, for example, fundamentally altered the course of the nation’s early political history. Not only did it allow for the first peaceful transfer of power between rival political factions in the history of the America republic, but it ushered in the age of Jeffersonian democracy, a period of administrative decentralization that witnessed the repeated and widespread expansion of the electoral franchise and a concomitant diversification of the nation’s political elite. Had the incoming Congress been given the choice instead – and if that same body had conspired to grant the presidency to Aaron Burr – one cannot help but conclude that the proceeding era would have played out very differently indeed. Laying aside the dubious speculation of many contemporary observers that Burr was a charlatan who was bound to drag the nascent republic in a decidedly aristocratic direction, one can at the very least quite easily envision a split occurring among the Democratic-Republicans between the supporters of Vice-President Jefferson and the devotees of President Burr. What might have come of this split, ultimately, it would not do to speculate here. Suffice it to say, as far as the American people were concerned, their lives would likely have been altered in a most dramatic fashion.    

    Just so, the 1825 election of John Quincy Adams by another lame-duck Congress served to fundamentally fracture the ascendant Democratic-Republican Party and arguably accelerated the rise to power of radical populist Andrew Jackson. Had Jackson been elected in place of Adams by the incoming Congress rather than the outgoing Congress, one fairly struggles to imagine the potential consequences for near-term American history. Without a “corrupt bargain” around which to build a fervent following, would the relatively inexperienced Jackson have been able to sustain his popularity? Would the Democratic-Republican Party have split quite as quickly or as definitively under Jackson’s leadership in 1825? Would the 2nd Bank have been destroyed sooner? Would there have been a financial panic in 1836? In attempting to answer just about any of these questions, one cannot help remarking upon the incalculable effects that the presence of a lame-duck Congress in February of 1825 ultimately wrought upon the fates and fortunes of millions of Americans. Clearly, then, while 20th Amendment did constitute a substantially technical kind of reform – of the sort normally of interest only to public officials and political insiders – the issue which it sought to address had often drastically affected the lives of everyday Americans. Granted, the last time this had been obvious before the early 1930s had been several decades prior to the American Civil War. But while the American people may not have had cause to grasp the practical significance of certain aspects of the federal timetable for nearly one hundred and fifty years as of 1932, this did not necessarily preclude them from being made to grasp it again. All that was required was the right kind of crisis.

    Then again, when one re-examines the specific circumstances under which the 20th Amendment was ultimately approved by Congress and ratified by the states, the role of certain institutional actors would seem to be quite significant. In order to be submitted to the states for ratification, recall, any proposed amendment requires the affirmation of two-thirds of the sitting members of both the Senate and the House. And so, while the Democrats had a majority in the latter and one seat less than the Republicans in the former as of 1932, they could not have approved the lame-duck amendment proposal entirely on their own. They would have if they could have, to be sure. It would have been very much to their benefit to hasten the conclusion of Herbert Hoover’s term in office and usher in their chosen candidate, one Franklin Delano Roosevelt. The sooner Roosevelt was able to begin implementing his promised “new deal,” the sooner the Democrats could begin to rehabilitate their reputation after losing three presidential elections in a row over the course of the 1920s. But as it then stood, according to the terms of the Constitution, they would require the assistance of a certain number of Republicans. Eighty-eight of them, to be exact, bringing their majority of two hundred and nineteen in the House up to the two-thirds threshold of two hundred and ninety and their minority of forty-seven in the Senate up to the requisite sixty-four. The fact that they were ultimately able to accomplish this, as aforementioned, is really very telling. Clearly, no small number of congressional Republicans saw some benefit to shortening Hoover’s term as well.

    Perhaps, as noted previously with the various Republican legislators in the states, these federal members of the GOP simply saw the inherent wisdom in the proposal. They may not have felt it the most urgent thing in the world to usher President Hoover out of office some forty days ahead of schedule, but the utility of shortening the lame-duck session might still have been reasonably evident. And so, presented with the opportunity to secure the passage of an amendment which made good sense regardless of the circumstances of the moment, they opted to vote in its favor. Then again, it may also have been a question of post-disaster damage control. Hoover’s continued presence in the White House, particularly by the end of 1930, had proved itself to be quite corrosive to the reputation of the Republican Party as a whole. The results of the 1930 mid-terms were proof enough of that, with the Democrats picking up fifty-two seats on Election Day and winning enough special elections over the next several months to take control of the House for the first time since 1919. The Senate remained in Republican hands, if only by a single seat, but the balance of governorships – previously weighted thirty to eighteen in favor of the Republicans – also shifted in favor of the Democrats to a ratio of twenty-five to twenty-one. Clearly, between the elections of 1928 and 1930, something had happened to set the American people against the Republican Party in spite of the former’s consistent support of the latter throughout the 1920s. The most obvious culprit, of course, was Herbert Hoover, his leadership, and his response – or lack thereof – to ravages of the Great Depression. And while it may not have been possible to replace Hoover at the top of the ticket going into the Election of 1932 – in large part because there just didn’t seem to be any viable alternative – many Republicans were doubtless concerned about their prospects and eager for some means to separate themselves from their ill-starred leader.

    The 20th Amendment no doubt appeared to be a suitable lifeline. Granted, its passage would not prevent the Republicans from losing control of the White House, but its application being tied to a specific deadline predating Election Day would conceivably have allowed anxious Republicans to draw a distinction between themselves and their doomed nominee for President. “Yes,” they might tell their constituents while they were campaigning for re-election, “Herbert Hoover has indeed led the country astray. And it was for that exact reason that I voted in favor of the lame-duck amendment. He will surely be defeated when he faces the voters in November, but I think we can all agree he could always leave sooner than next March.” There was no guarantee, of course, that the proposed amendment would be ratified in time to actually apply to the incumbent president. But as long as the otherwise vulnerable Republicans remembered to pawn off any blame for failure on the noted lethargy of state lawmakers, support for the proposed amendment might still have proven itself a useful tactic. And in this sense, the relevant reform might be thought of as being both popular and institutional in nature. On the one hand, its passage was likely aided by a desire on the part of certain vulnerable Republicans to insulate themselves from what they had every reason to believe would be a particularly bruising election cycle in November of 1932. It might thus be fairly described as a means by which a group of political insiders sought to hold on to their accustomed power. On the other hand, however, given precisely what it was that these same Republicans had cause to fear – i.e., the disapprobation of the American public – it might also be perfectly valid to think of the lame-duck amendment as a measure largely propelled to ratification by widespread public discontent. After all, had Hoover not so thoroughly made himself an object of public scorn, would anyone have suddenly thought it necessary to shorten the term in office of the sitting president?

    In either case – again, reaching far, faaaar back to where the current discussion actually began – the impact of the 17th Amendment on the behavior of the Senate within the specific context of its approval of the 20th Amendment would seem to be fairly clear. The fact that, per the terms of the 17th Amendment, the Republican Senators who were up for re-election in 1932 had to make their case to the general population of their states rather than to the legislatures thereof doubtless strongly colored whether they supported the lame-duck amendment or not. Had the legislatures still performed the role of insulating Senators from being directly accountable to the public, fewer of them would surely have had cause to fear being unambiguously associated with President Hoover and his disastrous response to the opening phase of the Great Depression. Indeed, so long as they continued to please their legislative sponsors, one finds it hard to imagine that any Republican Senators in states with Republican-controlled governments would have needed to harbor any anxiety whatsoever. As it stood, however, the fact that Senators at the federal level were elected by popular vote arguably made the re-election bid of every Republican incumbent in 1932 a referendum on the policy record of Herbert Hoover as well as themselves. What else had the President been doing, after all, but giving voice to Republican orthodoxy? And How many Republican Senators had voted in favor of Smoot-Hawley? Some kind of answer was required; the people would surely demand it. And while some progressives in the party might reasonably have claimed that they were opposed to Hoover from the very start, those not possessed of similarly radical bona fides would have had every reason to grab hold of anything that might seem to separate them from their party’s nominee. The 20th Amendment, as it might have applied to Hoover himself, had the potential to be exactly that. And the reason for this, amusingly enough, was effect of the otherwise unrelated 17th Amendment.

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